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Research & KnowledgeEvent: September 3, 2026

Office for Budget Responsibility published an article explaining its forecasting migration process, use of a stay-rate model, and role of the ONS National Population Projections in forecasting.

Published

Signal category

Research & Knowledge

Quote

We’ve just published an article explaining our process for forecasting migration, our use of a stay-rate model to inform the forecast, and the role of the ONS National Population Projections in our forecasting process

Office for Budget Responsibility team

Company

Office for Budget Responsibility

The UK's independent fiscal watchdog

Industry
Government Administration
Location
London, GB
Company size
54 employees

The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) was established in May 2010 to provide independent assessments of the economy, public finances and fiscal sustainability. We provide independent forecasts of the economy and public finances, examine the impact of the Government's policy decisions on the public finances, and assess the prospects for achieving the Government's fiscal targets and welfare cap. We publish reports on long-term fiscal sustainability, fiscal risks and trends in welfare spending, and produce papers on economic and fiscal issues. Contact us at obr.enquiries@obr.uk or 02033346117

Founded 2010

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